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- | ======price-to-free-cash-flow_ratio====== | ||
- | The Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow Ratio (also known as the P/FCF Ratio or Price-to-Cash-Flow) is a valuation metric used to compare a company' | ||
- | ===== How to Calculate It ===== | ||
- | Calculating the P/FCF ratio is straightforward. There are two common ways to do it, both yielding the same result. | ||
- | ==== The Market Cap Method ==== | ||
- | This method looks at the company as a whole. | ||
- | * **Formula: | ||
- | * **Where:** | ||
- | * **Market Capitalization: | ||
- | * **Free Cash Flow:** The cash a company generates after covering its operational and investment costs. It's typically calculated as [[Operating Cash Flow]] - [[Capital Expenditures]] (CapEx). You can find these figures in a company' | ||
- | ==== The Per-Share Method ==== | ||
- | This method brings the valuation down to a single share. | ||
- | * **Formula: | ||
- | * **Where:** | ||
- | * **Share Price:** The current price of one share of the company' | ||
- | * **Free Cash Flow per Share:** The total Free Cash Flow divided by the total number of outstanding shares. | ||
- | ===== Why Value Investors Love the P/FCF Ratio ===== | ||
- | Devotees of value investing, from [[Warren Buffett]] down to Main Street investors, often prefer FCF-based metrics for several key reasons. | ||
- | ==== Cash is King (and Harder to Fake) ==== | ||
- | A company’s reported [[Earnings]] can be influenced by all sorts of accounting choices, like how it handles [[Depreciation]] or [[Amortization]]. These non-cash charges can make profits look different from the actual cash a business is generating. Free Cash Flow, on the other hand, is much more difficult to manipulate. It represents the real cash available to pay down debt, issue dividends, or buy back shares – activities that directly reward shareholders. It’s the company' | ||
- | ==== A True Measure of Financial Strength ==== | ||
- | A business that consistently generates strong FCF is a business that can fund its own growth without having to borrow money or issue more stock (which dilutes existing shareholders). This financial self-sufficiency is the hallmark of a durable, high-quality enterprise. It shows that the company' | ||
- | ===== Putting P/FCF into Practice ===== | ||
- | Like any metric, the P/FCF ratio is most powerful when used correctly and in context. | ||
- | ==== What's a " | ||
- | While there' | ||
- | * **Under 10:** Often considered a signal of a potentially very undervalued company. It's worth a deep dive to see why it's so cheap. | ||
- | * **10 to 20:** Generally viewed as a fair to attractive valuation for a stable, healthy company. | ||
- | * **Over 20:** May indicate a company is fully valued or potentially overvalued, though high-growth companies can often sustain higher ratios. | ||
- | Crucially, //context is everything// | ||
- | ==== Pitfalls to Watch For ==== | ||
- | Don't use the P/FCF ratio in a vacuum. Keep an eye out for these potential traps: | ||
- | * **One-Time Windfalls: | ||
- | * **Consistently Negative FCF:** For young, rapidly expanding companies (like [[Amazon]] in its early days), negative FCF can be a sign of aggressive investment in future growth. However, for a mature, established company, consistently negative FCF is a major red flag that it's burning more cash than it's generating. | ||
- | * **The Debt Blind Spot:** A company could have a fantastic P/FCF ratio but also be buried under a mountain of debt. Always peek at the [[Balance Sheet]] and check metrics like the [[Debt-to-Equity Ratio]] to get the full picture of the company' | ||
- | ===== The Bottom Line ===== | ||
- | The Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow ratio is an indispensable tool in the investor' | ||